ANALISIS CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA PERI0DE 1980-2000

Abstract

ThemodelinthisresearchisreliabletoestimatethelnternationalReservebythe
independent variables.- iio* Linearity Test we conclude that the model has no spesification
e,ror or has no misspecification. The n sqrori is 98,87 % means that 98,87 %o change in the
International Reserve can be affected by'CDP, Exchange Rate' Mon.ey. Supply an.d Dornestic
Credit. The rest ,o, b" .ortrtbited by tie other factors' B.ased on classical asumptions test' we
find that the made!;; i;"; i"^ o *rtti"ol,iiiiarity problem,
^heteroscedasticity
problem and
autocorrelation problem. From the ouryuj of Eviewi 3'0 we find the probability of F test is
below than 0,05. k *",oin, that the tndipenient variables can affect the Interna.tional Reserve
simultaneously. Then we find that alt sigpificance ^level.
of independent variables are below
than 0,05. It meuns inoiio,tnny thefactois can affect the International Reserve too'
Keywords : International Reserve, classical Asumptions Test, The Error correction Mod'el